Some more information on demographic changes:
Trading Places
The demographic inversion of the American city.
Alan Ehrenhalt, The New Republic Published: Wednesday, August 13, 2008
http://tnr.com/story_print.html?id=264510ca-2170-49cd-bad5-a0be122ac1a9
Excerpts:
Before September 11, 2001, the number of people living in
Manhattan south of the World Trade Center was estimated at about
25,000. Today, it is approaching 50,000. Close to one-quarter
of these people are couples (nearly always wealthy couples) with
children. The average household size is actually larger in lower
Manhattan than in the city as a whole. It is not mere fantasy to
imagine that in, say, 2020, the southern tip of Manhattan will
be a residential neighborhood with a modest residual presence
of financial corporations and financial services jobs. What's
happening in Lower Manhattan isn't exactly an inversion in the
Chicago sense: Expensive condos are replacing offices, not poor
people. But it is dramatic demographic change nevertheless.
In fairness, a lot of that condo construction had probably been pending
since they tore down the old elevated West Side Highway.
[wikipedia.org] West Side Elevated Highway
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Miller_Highway
The new Stuyvesant building (built 1992) used to be about the only
thing at the lower end of Manhattan there, with nothing but grass
fields between it and the World Financial Center (or rather the
two buildings just before it, one of which housed Merrill Lynch.
Those fields are nearly all condos now (one with a new public school
at its base).
Another point, which I've heard much earlier courtesy of my cousin
(uncle? who knows) Louie, a former police officer:
The young newcomers who have rejuvenated 14th and U believe that
this recovering slum is the sort of place where they want to
spend time and, increasingly, where they want to live. This is
the generation that grew up watching "Seinfeld," "Friends," and
"Sex and the City," mostly from the comfort of suburban sofas. We
have gone from a sitcom world defined by "Leave It to Beaver" and
"Father Knows Best" to one that offers a whole range of urban
experiences and enticements. I do not claim that a handful
of TV shows has somehow produced a new urbanist generation,
but it is striking how pervasive the pro-city sensibility is
within this generation, particularly among its elite.
Have I mentioned I'm re-reading TBS? Are we looking at an
unexpected event (increasing popularity of cities) and reaching to
apply "becauses" after the fact? Yep. I guess my question now is
whether the trend that led us here will persist, or whether it will
ebb over the next decade.
-- Dan
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